Epidemiology and Health

Original articles

Inequality in mortality according to regional deprivation during the COVID-19 pandemic: Min Hui Moon, Min-Hyeok Choi, Young Gyu Ko; Epidemiol Health. 2025;e2025022. Published online April 29, 2025; DOI: https://doi.org/10.4178/epih.e2025022 [Accepted]

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Abstract PDF: Abstract
OBJECTIVES
Vulnerability to coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) is significantly greater in regions with lower socioeconomic status. However, detailed analyses of regional socioeconomic disparities have rarely been conducted in South Korea. This study aimed to identify and compare mortality inequalities associated with regional socioeconomic status across different areas of South Korea during the COVID-19 pandemic.
METHODS
Using cause-of-death statistics from 2020 to 2022, we calculated age-standardized mortality rates (ASMRs) for total mortality, COVID-19 mortality, and pneumonia mortality. The socioeconomic status of each region was assessed using the regional deprivation index. Additionally, we calculated the rate difference (RD), rate ratio (RR), slope index of inequality (SII), and relative index of inequality (RII) for each socioeconomic level to examine the extent of mortality inequality and its temporal changes. These analyses were stratified by sex and urban-rural classification.
RESULTS
The total mortality rate, as well as COVID-19-specific and pneumonia-specific mortality rates, increased during the COVID-19 pandemic. The ASMR for COVID-19 was higher in rural areas (ASMR, 27.79), which have lower healthcare accessibility, compared to urban areas (ASMR, 26.63). However, mortality inequality indicators for COVID-19 were more pronounced in urban areas compared to rural areas (SII [urban: 2.72; rural: -0.05], RII [urban: 0.10; rural: 0.00]). Notably, significant inequalities were observed among men residing in urban areas.
CONCLUSIONS
In disaster situations such as the COVID-19 pandemic, it is essential to implement strategies aimed at reducing overall mortality rates and addressing regional socioeconomic inequalities.; Summary

Geospatial analysis of neonatal mortality in North-eastern India: a multilevel Bayesian approach: Vidhi Jain, Kh. Jitenkumar Singh, Deboshree Das, Shefali Gupta, Gunjan Singh; Epidemiol Health. 2025;e2025021. Published online April 27, 2025; DOI: https://doi.org/10.4178/epih.e2025021 [Accepted]

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Abstract PDF: Abstract
OBJECTIVES
Neonatal mortality remains a significant public health issue in India. This study investigates spatial patterns and contributing factors to neonatal mortality in the north-eastern states, identifying hotspot regions and spatial variations.
METHODS
A sample of 34,222 mothers from NFHS-5 (2019–21) in the north-eastern states was analysed. Descriptive and bivariate analyses were conducted alongside Bayesian multilevel logistic regression using Integrated Nested Laplace Approximation (INLA) to model neonatal mortality. Spatial hotspot analysis using Getis-Ord Gi* statistics identified clusters of high neonatal mortality, while geographically weighted regression (GWR) was used to examine spatial variations in the relationships between neonatal mortality and contributing factors.
RESULTS
The neonatal mortality rate in the north-eastern states declined from 45 to 21 per 1,000 live births (NFHS-1 to NFHS-5) but remains higher than the national average. Assam reported the highest mortality (42.16%), whereas Sikkim had the lowest (0.87%). Higher mortality was observed among male infants, mothers with advanced age, low maternal education, and mothers who attended less than 5 antenatal care (ANC) visits. Spatial analysis identified hotspots in Assam, Meghalaya, and Tripura. GWR indicated that areas with less than 5 ANC visits had the strongest association with neonatal mortality. Bayesian multilevel analysis highlighted spatial variations of up to 51% across districts in northeast India.
CONCLUSIONS
This study underscores spatial disparities in neonatal mortality across north-eastern India. Addressing childcare practices and healthcare access in hotspot regions is essential for improving new-born health outcomes. The findings provide critical insights for policymakers to develop targeted interventions aimed at reducing neonatal mortality in these underserved areas.; Summary

Association between regular dental scaling and stroke risk in patients with periodontal diseases: evidence from a Korean nationwide database: Yu-Rin Kim, Minkook Son, Seon-Rye Kim; Epidemiol Health. 2025;e2025020. Published online April 19, 2025; DOI: https://doi.org/10.4178/epih.e2025020 [Accepted]

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Abstract PDF: Abstract
OBJECTIVES
This study aimed to evaluate the association between the frequency of dental scaling and the risk of stroke among individuals with moderate-to-severe periodontal diseases and verify the effect of regular dental scaling on stroke risk in this population.
METHODS
In this retrospective study, 25,758 subjects with moderate-to-severe periodontal diseases were selected from the Korean National Health Insurance Service-National Health Screening cohort database. Based on the frequency of dental scaling, the subjects were divided into three groups: regular, occasional, and infrequent. Restricted cubic splines were used to evaluate hazard ratios (HR) with 95% confidence intervals (CI) for stroke. Additionally, landmark analysis was conducted to strengthen the reliability of the results.
RESULTS
There were 293, 111, and 38 stroke cases in the infrequent, occasional, and regular group, respectively. The adjusted HR for stroke in the regular group, compared to that in the infrequent group, was 0.40 (95% CI, 0.29–0.57). In the landmark analysis with follow-up after 1 year and after 2 years, the adjusted HR in the regular group compared to that in the infrequent group was 0.41 (95% CI, 0.28–0.60) and 0.50 (95% CI, 0.33–0.76), respectively.
CONCLUSIONS
Regular dental scaling was significantly associated with a reduced risk of stroke in patients with moderate-to-severe periodontal diseases. These findings may suggest a potential preventive role of dental scaling beyond oral health. Further studies are needed to explore the underlying biological mechanisms linking periodontal care to stroke prevention and to explore causal relationships between dental scaling and stroke risk.; Summary

Impact of hypertension-related avoidable hospitalization on all-cause mortality in older patients with hypertension: a nationwide retrospective cohort study in South Korea: Yehrhee Son, Noorhee Son, Sungyoun Chun, Ki-Bong Yoo, Jung Hyun Chang, Woo-Ri Lee; Epidemiol Health. 2025;e2025019. Published online April 18, 2025; DOI: https://doi.org/10.4178/epih.e2025019 [Accepted]

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Abstract PDF: Abstract
OBJECTIVES
The prevalence of hypertension is increasing as a result of rapid population aging, which elevates the societal burden of the disease. In South Korea, the hospitalization rate for hypertension-related admissions exceeds the average reported by the Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development; however, the impact of these hospitalizations has not been evaluated. Therefore, this study investigates the association between hypertension-related avoidable hospitalizations and all-cause mortality.
METHODS
We included patients aged ≥60 years diagnosed with hypertension, identified using data from the National Health Insurance Services Senior Cohort spanning 2008 to 2019. The primary outcome was all-cause mortality measured at 3 and 5 years after the hypertension diagnosis. The key independent variable was the incidence of hypertension-related avoidable hospitalizations within the first year following the initial hypertension diagnosis. Cox proportional hazards regression analysis was employed to assess these associations. To ensure robust findings and minimize selection bias, several sensitivity analyses were conducted.
RESULTS
Out of 65,686 participants, 397 (0.6%) experienced hypertension-related avoidable hospitalizations within 1 year of their initial hypertension diagnosis. Individuals who experienced such hospitalizations had a significantly higher risk of all-cause mortality compared to those who did not (3-year: hazard ratio (HR) 2.12, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.53–2.94; 5-year: HR, 2.13; 95% CI, 1.68–2.68).
CONCLUSIONS
Hypertension-related avoidable hospitalizations among older adults are associated with an increased risk of both short-term and long-term all-cause mortality. These findings underscore the importance of timely hypertension management to prevent such hospitalizations.; Summary

Parents’ employment and non-chromosomal congenital anomalies in South Korea: a national population cohort study: Kyuwon Kim, Hoyol Jhang, Erdenetuya Bolormaa, Chae Bong Kim, Seung-Ah Choe; Epidemiol Health. 2025;e2025018. Published online April 10, 2025; DOI: https://doi.org/10.4178/epih.e2025018 [Accepted]

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OBJECTIVES
We assessed the association between parents' employment status, including industrial classification, and non-chromosomal congenital anomalies in offspring.
METHODS
We analyzed data from mothers who delivered live births between 2020 and 2022, linking their records with those of their neonates from the National Health Information Service (NHIS) database. Our analysis focused on common industrial classifications representing at least 6% of the total workforce. Congenital anomalies were identified based on neonates’ diagnostic codes. We conducted logistic regression to estimate odds ratios (ORs) of congenital anomalies by the industrial classification of mothers and their partners, adjusting for individual risk factors, with the financial industry serving as the reference category.
RESULTS
Among 338,637 women with a live birth, 148,818 (43.9%) were employed at the time of pregnancy. Employment was associated with a higher risk of congenital anomalies (OR, 1.08; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.04-1.12). Within the common industrial classifications, health and social work exhibited the highest risk (OR, 1.11; 95% CI, 1.06-1.22) compared to the financial industry. Women employed in general hospitals showed particularly elevated risks (OR, 1.19; 95% CI, 1.04-1.37). Among male partners, the risk estimates were generally imprecise.
CONCLUSIONS
The study indicates that certain industries are linked with a higher risk of congenital anomalies among women workers. These findings underscore the need for enhanced safety measures in high-risk industrial settings to reduce the occurrence of congenital anomalies.; Summary

Association of dietary inflammatory index with mortality risk: a prospective analysis of the Korea National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey: Dahyun Park, Hee Ju Jun, Garam Jo, Soyoung Kwak, Min-Jeong Shin; Epidemiol Health. 2025;e2025017. Published online April 9, 2025; DOI: https://doi.org/10.4178/epih.e2025017 [Accepted]

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Abstract PDF: Abstract
OBJECTIVES
The energy-adjusted dietary inflammatory index (E-DII), a tool developed based on comprehensive research and literature reviews, is used to assess the inflammatory potential of specific diets. Although previous research has demonstrated an association between E-DII and mortality, longitudinal studies investigating a causal relationship in Asian populations are lacking. This study aimed to explore the prospective association between E-DII and the risk of all-cause, cancer, and cardiovascular disease (CVD) mortality using a population-based Korean cohort.
METHODS
The analysis included data from 40,596 individuals who participated in the Korea National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey between 2007 and 2015. The exclusion criteria encompassed the diagnosis of cancer or CVD at baseline, pregnancy at baseline, and death within the first 2 years after baseline. The E-DII was calculated using data from 24-hour dietary recall interviews. Cox proportional hazard regression models were employed to calculate hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for mortality risk across E-DII tertiles.
RESULTS
Over an 8.2-year follow-up period, 2,070 deaths were recorded. Compared with the lowest E-DII, a higher index was associated with an increased risk of mortality from all causes (HR, 1.45; 95% CI, 1.25 to 1.69), cancer (HR, 1.41; 95% CI, 1.09 to 1.81), and CVD (HR, 1.53; 95% CI, 1.07 to 2.18). The association between E-DII and all-cause mortality was particularly pronounced among individuals with metabolic conditions.
CONCLUSIONS
Our findings suggest a strong positive association between high E-DII and increased mortality in Korean adults, especially those with metabolic disorders.; Summary

Epidemiologic investigation

Spatiotemporal trends in severe complicated influenza among the local population in Taiwan region, 2003-2023: Kangjun Wu, Yujian Lu; Epidemiol Health. 2025;e2025016. Published online April 2, 2025; DOI: https://doi.org/10.4178/epih.e2025016 [Accepted]

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OBJECTIVES
Severe influenza has raised considerable concern worldwide, and its incidence appears to have shifted in the context of globalization. This study aimed to examine the temporal, spatial, and demographic distributions of local severe influenza cases in Taiwan region from January 2003 to June 2023.
METHODS
We aggregated severe complicated influenza cases by month, area (city/county), age, and sex. The age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR) was calculated to compare differences across regions and populations. Yearly incidence rate ratios comparing males to females were also computed to assess sex differences.
RESULTS
A total of 16,459 cases were included from 2003 to 2023. Crude incidence rates per 100,000 population were 0.07–0.14 for 2003–2008, 3.64–9.81 for 2009–2019, and 0.004–1.87 for 2020–2023. Higher incidence rates were observed in Hualien and Taitung Counties, with average ASIRs exceeding 10.0 per 100,000 population, compared to other cities. Except for 2005 and 2007, the incidence among males exceeded that among females, with ASIR ratios ranging from 1.10 to 2.20. The highest incidence was observed among populations aged 0–4 and those aged ≥55.
CONCLUSIONS
The incidence of severe complicated influenza exhibited clear regional and demographic variations in Taiwan region. The observed rebound in incidence calls for increased vigilance to protect vulnerable populations from severe illness.; Summary

Original articles

Palivizumab coverage rates among moderate-to-late preterm infants in Korea: A nationwide cross-sectional study: Seungyeon Kim, Saram Lee, Young June Choe, Ju Sun Heo; Epidemiol Health. 2025;e2025015. Published online April 1, 2025; DOI: https://doi.org/10.4178/epih.e2025015 [Accepted]

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Abstract PDF: Abstract
OBJECTIVES
Since October 2016, South Korea has implemented a national reimbursement program for palivizumab aimed at moderate-to-late preterm (MLPT) infants born between 32 0/7 and 35 6/7 weeks of gestation during the respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) season (October–March). However, large-scale data on coverage rates and associated factors remain limited. This study evaluated palivizumab coverage rates and identified predictive factors influencing its administration in MLPT infants.
METHODS
This nationwide, population-based cross-sectional study utilized data from the Korean National Health Insurance Service collected between October 2016 and March 2019. MLPT infants eligible for palivizumab reimbursement were divided into administration and non-administration groups. Seasonal and overall coverage rates were assessed. A multivariate logistic regression analysis examined factors associated with palivizumab administration, with a focus on infant and maternal characteristics.
RESULTS
Among 2,843 eligible MLPT infants, 1,201 (42.2%) received palivizumab, while 1,642 (57.8%) did not. Although coverage rates increased annually, they remained suboptimal. Lower palivizumab prophylaxis coverage was observed in infants with higher gestational ages, female sex, absence of low birth weight, those born in March, residents of non-capital areas, infants not admitted to a neonatal intensive care unit (NICU) at birth, and infants of mothers aged <35 years.
CONCLUSIONS
In the initial 3 RSV seasons following the introduction of palivizumab reimbursement for MLPT infants in South Korea, the overall coverage rate was low (42.2%). National policies targeting infants with higher gestational ages, those born in March, and those residing in non-capital areas are necessary to improve coverage and ensure equitable RSV prophylaxis.; Summary

Identifying factors associated with mental health status following climate-related disasters: a nationwide longitudinal panel study in Korea: Eunjin Oh, Jaelim Cho, Changsoo Kim, Hyungryul Lim, Kyoung-Nam Kim; Epidemiol Health. 2025;e2025014. Published online March 27, 2025; DOI: https://doi.org/10.4178/epih.e2025014 [Accepted]

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Abstract PDF: Abstract
OBJECTIVES
Despite the increasing frequency and intensity of climate-related disasters, identifying factors associated with mental health status remains challenging. This study aimed to determine the factors linked to symptoms of depression, anxiety, and post-traumatic stress disorder (PTSD) following heavy rainfall and typhoons.
METHODS
National data on climate-related disaster victims (n=825 for heavy rainfall and n=1,220 for typhoon) from a longitudinal panel in Korea (“Long-term Survey on the Change of Life of Disaster Victims”) and data from individuals unaffected by disasters (n=893) were used. Generalized linear mixed models were employed to evaluate the factors associated with mental health status following climate-related disasters.
RESULTS
Greater disaster severity (e.g., experiencing casualties or asset loss) was associated with higher scores for depression (Patient Health Questionnaire-9), anxiety (Generalized Anxiety Disorder-7), and PTSD (Impact Event Scale-Revised). The association between casualty experience and anxiety score was more pronounced among individuals over 65 years (β [log-transformed score]=1.39; standard error [SE], 0.26; p<0.001), female respondents (β=1.20; SE, 0.20; p<0.001), those with a low education level (β=1.18; SE, 0.25; p<0.001), and those with a low income (β=1.45; SE, 0.26; p<0.001) compared to their counterparts.
CONCLUSIONS
These findings may help guide targeted interventions and shape public health policies and disaster management strategies that prioritize mental health support for the most at-risk populations, ultimately increasing community resilience to climate-related challenges.; Summary

Systematic review

Guts of healthy humans, livestock, and pets harbor critical-priority and high-risk Escherichia coli clones: Idris Nasir Abdullahi, Islem Trabelsi; Epidemiol Health. 2025;e2025013. Published online March 22, 2025; DOI: https://doi.org/10.4178/epih.e2025013 [Accepted]

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Abstract PDF: Abstract
OBJECTIVES
In May 2024, the World Health Organization classified carbapenem (CARB)- and third-generation cephalosporin (3GC) resistance (R) in Escherichia coli as a critical priority, whereas colistin (COL) is a "last resort" antibiotic for their treatment. This meta-analysis evaluated the pooled prevalence, high-risk lineages, genetic relatedness, and mechanisms of CARBR, COLR, and 3GCR in Escherichia coli from healthy humans and animals.
METHODS
We conducted a systematic review and meta-analyses following the PRISMA criteria on all eligible studies that reported the analysis of E. coli, and antimicrobial susceptibility to CARB, COL and 3GC in E. coli from gut samples of clinically healthy humans, livestock, and pets from June 2014 to June 2024. Random-effect models and CSI Phylogeny 1.4 were used to determine pooled prevalence rates (PPs) and the relatedness of publicly available E. coli genomes, respectively.
RESULTS
Of the 5034 identified articles, 55 studies were deemed eligible. The overall PPs of 3GCR, CARBR- and COLR E. coli were 19% (95% CI, 14.5%-24.4%), 1.6% (95% CI, 0.8%-3.5%), and 13.3% (95% CI, 8.4%-20.9%), respectively. The PPs of 3GCR-, COLR- and CARBR E. coli significantly varied by hosts, continent, and year of studies (p<0.05). Diverse E. coli lineages were found, including 13 high-risk E. coli sequence types (STs), within which ST10 predominated. Phylogenomic analyses produced 4 clusters of related CARBR- and COLR E. coli strains (< 25 SNP): ST940-blaOXA-181 from humans in Lebanon, ST617-mcr-1 from pigs in China, ST46-mcr-1 from poultry in Tanzania, and ST1720-mcr-1 from goats in France.
CONCLUSIONS
COLR and 3GCR are more frequent than CARBR in gut E. coli. These 10-year epidemiological data highlight the persistence and transmission of critical priority and high-risk E. coli strains in healthy humans and animals, raising significant One Health concerns.; Summary

Original articles

The Uneven Playing Field: Provider Participation and Regional Disparities in Oral Health Examination Rates in South Korea: Hye-Lim Hong, Nam-Hee Kim; Epidemiol Health. 2025;e2025012. Published online March 10, 2025; DOI: https://doi.org/10.4178/epih.e2025012 [Accepted]

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Abstract PDF: Abstract
OBJECTIVES
This study investigated regional disparities in adult oral health examination rates in South Korea, despite free oral health screenings by the National Health Insurance Service (NHIS). It focused on the impact of provider factors, such as the availability of dental clinics and non-dental institutions.
METHODS
A cross-sectional analysis of 2022 data from 229 districts was conducted. The dependent variable was the adult oral health examination rate, while independent variables included provider factors, community health status, lifestyle, demographic, and socioeconomic characteristics. Descriptive statistics, Pearson’s correlation, and multiple regression analyses identified significant predictors.
RESULTS
Non-metropolitan areas had higher oral health examination rates (27.4%) than metropolitan areas (25.3%). Correlation analysis showed the general health examination rate (r=0.583) and the number of screening institutions (r=0.234) were the strongest predictors (p<0.001). Regression analysis showed a 1% increase in general health examination rates led to a 1.44% rise in oral health examination rates (p<0.001).
CONCLUSIONS
Despite NHIS policies, significant regional disparities persist, showing that providing screenings alone is insufficient. Integrating oral health screenings with general health examinations is necessary. Policymakers must promote collaboration between dental and non-dental providers to ensure equitable, integrated health services, enhancing preventive care and reducing disparities.; Summary

Preventable cancer cases and deaths attributable to deficit of physical activity in Korea from 2015 to 2030: Soseul Sung, Sungji Moon, Jihye An, Jeehi Jung, Hyeon Sook Lee, Youjin Hong, Sangjun Lee, Woojin Lim, Kyungsik Kim, Inah Kim, Jung Eun Lee, Sun Ha Jee, Aesun Shin, Ji-Yeob Choi, Sun-Seog Kweon, Min-Ho Shin, Sangmin Park, Seung-Ho Ryu, Sun Young Yang, Seung Ho Choi, Jeongseon Kim, Sang-Wook Yi, Yoon-Jung Choi, Jeong-Soo Im, Hong Gwan Seo, Sohee Park, Kwang-Pil Ko, Sue K. Park; Epidemiol Health. 2025;e2025010. Published online February 27, 2025; DOI: https://doi.org/10.4178/epih.e2025010 [Accepted]

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Abstract PDF: Abstract
OBJECTIVES
This study aimed to determine the population–attributable fractions (PAFs) of cancers using various calculation methods and to estimate the PAFs of cancer incidence and mortality resulting from deficit in physical activity (DPA) from 2015 to 2030, based on data on prevalence rates.
METHODS
The PAF of cancer was estimated using a cohort study–based meta–analysis of relative risk (RR), national prevalence rates of DPA from 2000 to 2015, and national cancer statistics from 2015 to 2030, with a latency of 15 years.
RESULTS
In 2015, DPA contributed to 909 cancer cases and 548 deaths, accounting for 0.42% and 0.68% of new cancer cases and deaths, respectively. By 2030, the PAF values are expected to increase to 1.31% of incidence and 1.80% of mortality, with a continual increase from 2015 to 2030. When the low metabolic equivalent of task (MET) criteria were selected, the PAF values decreased for both incidence and mortality. The PAF calculated with <900 MET–min/week for the sex–specific MET criterion was higher than that calculated with <900 MET–min/week for both incidence and mortality.
CONCLUSIONS
The risk of cancer associated with DPA is expected to rise in both men and women. Future research and strategies should emphasize the promotion of physical activity for cancer prevention, considering its significant implications for public health.; Summary

Preventable cancer cases and deaths attributable to alcohol consumption in Korea from 2015 to 2030: Soseul Sung, Jihye An, Jeehi Jung, Hyeon Sook Lee, Sungji Moon, Inah Kim, Jung Eun Lee, Aesun Shin, Sun Ha Jee, Sun-Seog Kweon, Min-Ho Shin, Sangmin Park, Seung-Ho Ryu, Sun Young Yang, Seung Ho Choi, Jeongseon Kim, Sang-Wook Yi, Yoon-Jung Choi, Youjin Hong, Sangjun Lee, Woojin Lim, Kyungsik Kim, Sohee Park, Jeong-Soo Im, Hong Gwan Seo, Kwang-Pil Ko, Sue K. Park; Epidemiol Health. 2025;e2025009. Published online February 27, 2025; DOI: https://doi.org/10.4178/epih.e2025009 [Accepted]

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Abstract PDF: Abstract
OBJECTIVES
Alcohol consumption is causally linked to several cancers, and major health organizations classify it as a carcinogen. This study assessed the impact of alcohol consumption on cancer incidence and mortality in Korea in 2015 and 2020, projected trends up to 2030, and compared results based on different criteria.
METHODS
The relative risk of cancer associated with alcohol consumption in Korea was determined through a meta–analysis of alcohol–related relative risks for specific cancers, using primary data from the Korean Cohort Study within the Korean Cohort Consortium. The population–attributable fraction (PAF) was calculated using Levin's formula, incorporating drinking prevalence and the number of cancer cases and deaths, with a 15–year latency period assumed.
RESULTS
In Korea, the PAF for alcohol consumption, based on ever/never drinking criteria, was higher than that calculated using other criteria, except for the PAF based on past and current/never drinking criteria. Alcohol consumption contributed to 3.58% of all cancer cases and 3.28% of cancer deaths in 2015. It accounted for 4.58% of new cancer cases in men and 2.08% in women, with a higher contribution to incidence than mortality (4.00% and 2.25% of cancer deaths in men and women, respectively). Projections indicate that alcohol–related cancer PAF will decrease by 17.2% in men but increase by 70.2% in women by 2030.
CONCLUSIONS
This study highlights the impact of alcohol consumption on cancer in Korea, emphasizing the need for sex–specific regulations to address sex differences.; Summary

Preventable cancer cases and deaths attributable to tobacco smoking in Korea from 2015 to 2030: Soseul Sung, Jihye An, Jeehi Jung, Hyeon Sook Lee, Sungji Moon, Inah Kim, Jung Eun Lee, Aesun Shin, Sun Ha Jee, Sun-Seog Kweon, Min-Ho Shin, Sangmin Park, Seung-Ho Ryu, Sun Young Yang, Seung Ho Choi, Jeongseon Kim, Sang-Wook Yi, Yoon-Jung Choi, Youjin Hong, Sangjun Lee, Woojin Lim, Kyungsik Kim, Daehee Kang, Keun-Young Yoo, Sohee Park, Jeong-Soo Im, Hong Gwan Seo, Hai-Rim Shin, Kwang-Pil Ko, Sue K. Park; Epidemiol Health. 2025;e2025008. Published online February 27, 2025; DOI: https://doi.org/10.4178/epih.e2025008 [Accepted]

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Abstract PDF: Abstract
OBJECTIVES
Tobacco smoking is a major public health concern worldwide. This study aimed to assess its impact on cancer incidence and mortality by estimating the population attributable fraction (PAF) in the Korean population for 2015 and 2020 and by projecting future trends until 2030.
METHODS
The Korean relative risk (RR) was calculated via a meta–analysis of RRs for individual cancers attributed to tobacco smoking, based on primary data analysis from the Korean Cohort Consortium. The PAF was estimated using the Levin formula with past and current prevalence rates and the number of cancer cases and deaths, assuming a 15–year latency period.
RESULTS
The proportions of cancer cases and deaths in Korea attributable to tobacco smoking were similar to those calculated using Asian and global RRs for both men and women. In 2015 and 2020, tobacco smoking contributed to 14.32% and 13.17% of cancer cases and 21.70% and 20.69% of cancer deaths in adults, respectively. Among Koreans, smoking was responsible for 25.83% of new cancer cases in men in 2015, 23.49% in men in 2020, 1.46% in women in 2015, and 1.68% in women in 2020. In both years, smoking impacted mortality more strongly than incidence in Korean men and women (incidence in men: 25.83% and 23.49%; mortality in men: 32.09% and 30.41%; incidence in women: 1.46% and 1.68%; and mortality in women: 4.70% and 4.96%, respectively).
CONCLUSIONS
Tobacco smoking causes cancers and deaths in Korea, however, it is preventable. Effective control policies that consider trends and vulnerabilities among women are required.; Summary

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Accepted articles